Point Spreads
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Leveling an Uneven Matchup
When two teams of very different quality play each other, a straight moneyline bet on the favorite pays almost nothing — you'd risk $300 to win $100. Point spreads fix this by giving the underdog a head-start in points before the game begins.
The spread creates a more balanced market: both sides of a spread bet are usually priced at −110, making it easy to calculate and hedge.
How to Read a Spread
Example: Chiefs vs. Bills
- Chiefs −7.5: Kansas City must win by 8 or more points for this bet to win.
- Bills +7.5: Buffalo can win outright or lose by 7 or fewer points and still cover.
Covering the Spread
"Covering" means your team beat its assigned spread target. A few outcome examples from the Chiefs −7.5 / Bills +7.5 game above:
Chiefs 28, Bills 17
+11 margin
Chiefs cover (−7.5)
Bills don't cover
Chiefs 24, Bills 20
+4 margin
Chiefs don't cover
Bills cover (+7.5)
Bills 31, Chiefs 27
Bills win outright
Chiefs don't cover
Bills cover (+7.5)
Pushes
A push happens when the final margin exactly equals the spread. If the Chiefs won by exactly 7 and the spread was −7 (not −7.5), it's a push — both sides get their stakes refunded, no winner declared.
Books use half-point spreads (−7.5, −3.5) specifically to eliminate pushes. Full-point spreads can push. For matched betting, a push means both bets are refunded, which effectively cancels the promo conversion — neither a profit nor a loss.
Avoid Push Risk When Using Promos
If your qualifying bet results in a push, the qualifying requirement may not be considered met. Check the promo terms. When in doubt, choose a half-point spread to guarantee a result either way.
Why Spreads Matter for Promo Bettors
Many sportsbook sign-up offers specify that the qualifying bet must be placed on a spread or moneyline. Spread markets have a few properties that make them attractive for this:
- Balanced pricing (−110/−110): Both sides cost the same, making hedge calculations simple.
- Available on every major game: Unlike exotic props, every NFL/NBA/NHL/MLB game has a spread.
- Low qualifying cost: At −110/−110, hedging a $10 qualifying bet costs approximately $1 regardless of outcome.